A Two-Part Model of the Individual Costs of Chronic Kidney Disease
Authors
Brian Hartman, ASA PhD
Brigham Young University
Milliman, Inc.
Courtney Larson
Milliman, Inc.
Christopher Kunkel, FSA PhD
Milliman, Inc.
Cason Wight
Brigham Young University
Richard L. Warr, PhD
Brigham Young University
Description
Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) affects many lives and has a large impact on health systems around the world. To better understand and predict costs for insurance plan members with CKD in the United States, we built a new model of their individual costs. Our model is the first to explicitly model both the CKD stage transition process and the distribution of costs given those stages.
Report
A Two-part Model of the Individual Costs of Chronic Kidney Disease
Podcast
Research Insights -A Two-Part Model of the Individual Costs of Chronic Kidney Disease
Acknowledgments
This work is funded by a Society of Actuaries Health Care Cost Trends Strategic Research Grant. The authors appreciate Rob Bachler, Deana Bell, Lisa Charron, Gabriela Dieguez, Leah Engel, Mike Hamachek, Austin Levenson, and Karen Schenkenfelder for their work and feedback on the project. The authors are also grateful to the project oversight group (Ken Avner, Joan Barrett, Scott Kelly, Daniel Kurowski, Rhyxian Lin, George Omondi, Rebecca Owen, and Alex Ryu) and Achilles Natsis and Erika Schulty from the Society of Actuaries for their support of this project.
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