2011 Living to 100 Monograph

• Table of Contents by Session
• Presented by Committee on Knowledge Extension Research, Committee on Life Insurance Research, International Section, Long-Term Care Insurance Section, Pension Section, Product Development Section and Reinsurance Section
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• January 5-7, 2011
• Renaissance Hotel at SeaWorld
• Orlando, FL

The Living to 100 monograph is composed of the papers, panel discussions and keynote sessions presented at the symposium.

• Participating Organizations
• Program
• Overview
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• General Session 1: Putting the Brakes on Aging: Beginning the Pharmaceutical Era
• Steven N. Austad
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• Session 1A: Long-Term Care
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• Is Long-Term Care Social Insurance Affordable in Developed Countries?
• Doug Andrews
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• The Relationship Between Cognitive Impairment and Mortality Rates among Long-Term Care Insurance Applicants
• Marc Cohen, Xiaomei Shi, Jessica Miller
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• The CLASS Act and the Future of Long-Term Care Financing
• Stephen Moses
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: John Paddon
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• Session 1B: Mortality Comparison
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• Temporal Evolution of Some Mortality Indicators: Application to Spanish Data
• Ana Debón, F. Martínez-Ruiz, F. Montes
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Mortality Compression and Longevity Risk
• Jack Yue
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Patterns of Old-Age Mortality, Emergence of the Centenarians and the Compression of Death above the Mode (Tribute to Roger Thatcher)
• Jean-Marie Robine, Siu Lan Cheung, Shiro Horiuchi
• Link to Presentation
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• Discussant Comments: Leonid Gavrilov, Natalia Gavrilova
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• Keynote Luncheon: Health Policy Challenges of Population Ageing: Perspectives from the Oxford Institute of Ageing
• Kenneth Howse
• Transcript
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• Session 2A: Effects of Obesity and Other Controllable Factors on Survival
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• Obesity Causes and Effects
• Sam Gutterman
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• The Impact of Obesity and Diabetes on LTC Disability and Mortality: Population Estimates from the National Long Term Care Survey
• Eric Stallard
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• The Role of Social and Health-Related Characteristics in Determining Survivorship among the U.S. Oldest Old
• Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez, Jennifer Ailshire
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: Jay Olshansky
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• Session 2B: Mortality Modeling I - Modified Lee-Carter Methods
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• Projection of Mortality Rates at Advanced Ages in Canada with a New Lee-Carter Type Model
• Louis Doray, Kim Tang
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Assessing and Extending the Lee-Carter Model for Long-Term Mortality Prediction
• Xiaoming Liu, Hao Yu
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Coherent Mortality Modeling for a Group of Populations
• Sharon Yang, Jack Yue, Yu-Yun Yeh
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: Ward Kingkade
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• Session 3A: Comparison of U.S., U.K. and Canadian Annuity Mortality Tables and Studies
• Moderator: Allen Klein
• Panelists: Doug Doll, Nick Dumbreck, Bob Howard
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• Session 3B: Mortality Modeling II - Other Methods
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• Longevity Risk and Regular Discount Sequence
• Hsin Chung Wang, Jack Yue
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Simultaneous Prediction Intervals: An Application to Forecasting U.S. and Canadian Mortality
• Johnny Siu-Hang Li, Wai-Sum Chan
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: Thomas Edwalds
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• General Session II: The New Retirement: Phased Retirement and Phases of Retirement-Adapting to Longer Lives and Different Support Systems
• Moderator: Robert Powell
• Panelists: Anna Rappaport , Paul Laporte, Andrew Peterson, Donald Segal
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• General Session III: Showing The Aging Process
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• Age-Related Changes In Factors Associated with Loss of Good Health
• Robert Brown, Andrew MacKenzie, Steven Prus
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• The Likelihood and Consequences of "Living to 100"
• Leonard Hayflick
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Aging and Health Disparities in America in the 21st Century
• Jay Olshansky
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• Discussant Comments: Jean-Marc Fix
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• General Session IV: Predictors of Exceptional Longevity
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• Survival Advantage of Siblings and Spouses of Centenarians in 20th Century Quebec
• Robert Bourbeau, Alain Gagnon, Valerie Jarry
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• Early-Life Predictors of Exceptional Longevity in the United States: Why Centenarians are Different from Their Shorter-Lived Siblings
• Leonid Gavrilov, Natalia Gavrilova
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Increasing Genetic Contribution to Exceptional Longevity with Increasing Age
  
• Tom Perls, Paola Sebastiani
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: Leonard Hayflick
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• Keynote Luncheon: Living to 100 and Liking It-Research of Relevance from the National Institute on Aging
• Marie A Bernard
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• Session 4A: Public Pension Reform
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• How to Survive Living to 100: Ways to Improve the U.S. Retirement System
• Beverly Orth
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• The Impact of the Automatic Balancing Mechanism for the Public Pension in Japan on the Extreme Elderly
• Yosuke Fujisawa
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Pension Reform in Canada-An Actuarial Perspective
• Robert Brown
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: J. Bruce MacDonald
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• Discussant Comments: Andrew Peterson
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• Session 4B: Mortality Analysis and Trends
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• Mortality Improvement in the United States: Analysis, Projections and Extreme Scenarios
• Joseph Lu, Wun Wong
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Recent Adult Mortality Trends in Canada, the United States and Other Low Mortality Countries
• Nadine Ouellette, Robert Bourbeau
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Mortality Experience of Three Senior Populations
• Vincent Granieri
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: Eric Stallard
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• General Session V: Factors Affecting Mortality
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• Is Raising the Age of Eligibility Fair to All? An Investigation of Socioeconomic Differences in Mortality Using Population Data
• Geoff Rashbrooke
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Patterns of Aging-Related Changes on the Way to 100: An Approach to Studying Aging, Mortality and Longevity from Longitudinal Data
• Anatoliy Yashin, Svetlana Ukraintseva, Konstantin Arbeev, Igor Akushevich, Alexander Kulminski
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: Jean Marc Fix
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• Session 5A: Implications
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• A Study on Emerging Health Conditions among the Elderly in India and the Sufficiency of Medical Framework and Health Insurance
• N.V. Subramanyan
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Living to 100-Challenges and Opportunities for Employers
• Mary Nell Billings, Anna Rappaport
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Risk Management Issues for Individuals with Special Emphasis for Women
• Anna Rappaport
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: Beverly Orth
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• Session 5B: Mortality Measurement
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• Mortality Measurement and Modeling Beyond Age 100
• Natalia Gavrilova, Leonid Gavrilov
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Mortality Rates at Oldest Ages
• Bob Howard
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Making the Most of Experience Data-An Augmented Beta-Binomial Approach
• Paul Sweeting
• Abstract
• Complete Paper
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• Discussant Comments: Henk van Broekhoven
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• General Session VI: Will There Be Enough Doctors, Nurses and Hospitals for our Aging Populations?
• Moderator: Timothy Harris
• Panelists: Doug Andrews , William Peck, Noreen Siba
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• Informal Discussant Transcript
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• General Session VII: Social Insurance: Perspectives and Implications
• Moderator: Sam Gutterman
• Panelists: Chresten Dengsoe, Sam Gutterman (for Stephen Goss), Jean-Claude Menard
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• Transcript